Interesting:. even our "adjusted" economic data shows a higher probability of recession.
23 Dec 2022, 12:38
Interesting:
👉 even our "adjusted" economic data shows a higher probability of recession 🤔
👉 What would happen if Fed used "un-adjusted" economic indicators?
Hint:
👉 employment stats are little suppressed
👉 inflation calc methods are continuously down-adjusted
#Bitcoin
Recession probability model from @NewYorkFed has climbed beyond its 2020 peak (by narrow margin) and is now at its highest since GFC